Crypto Bull Market TrackerLive verdict →

Guides

Background on how crypto market cycles behave, written to be useful rather than exhaustive. The signal pages cover what is happening now; these cover what the record says about cycles in general.

How long do crypto bull markets last?

Bitcoin took about 35 months to go from bear market low to cycle top in each of the last three cycles. What the record shows, and why it proves less than it seems.

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Bull market vs bear market

A bull market is a sustained rise, a bear market a sustained fall, conventionally 20% from a recent extreme. What the terms mean in crypto and how to tell them apart.

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How accurate is this bull market tracker?

We rebuilt this tracker’s verdict for every day since March 2018. It matched hindsight bull and bear phases on 72% of days. What it got wrong, and what changed.

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