Bitcoin 200-Day Moving Average
Bitcoin trades -15.2% below its 200-day moving average ($73,747). The classic uptrend condition is not met and this signal is bearish.
What is the 200-day moving average?
The 200-day moving average (200DMA) is the average of Bitcoinâs closing price over the previous 200 days, recalculated daily. Because it averages more than six months of prices, it filters out day-to-day noise and draws a slow, smooth line that tracks the marketâs underlying trend.
It is probably the single most-watched technical level in all of trading, in equities as much as in crypto. Price above the 200-day is the textbook shorthand for an uptrend, and many systematic funds and trend-following strategies use exactly this rule to switch between risk-on and risk-off.
This tracker compares Bitcoinâs current price against the 200DMA computed from CoinGecko daily closes, and shows how far above or below the line price currently sits.
Why it matters for the bull market
Because so much capital follows it, the 200DMA behaves like a self-reinforcing line in the sand: trend-followers buy when price reclaims it and cut exposure when price loses it. Historically, nearly all of Bitcoinâs large bull-market gains occurred while price was above the 200-day line, and nearly all of its deepest drawdowns occurred below it.
It is a confirmation signal, not a prediction. Price crossing above the 200DMA does not forecast a bull market; it certifies that six months of price action already point up. That lag is the cost of its reliability. This tracker pairs it with faster signals (30-day momentum, funding, ETF flows) precisely so the slow, high-conviction line and the fast, noisy ones can be weighed together.
Frequently asked questions
What is the 200-day moving average?
The average of the last 200 daily closing prices, recalculated each day. It smooths short-term noise into a single slow-moving trend line and is the most widely used long-term trend indicator in trading.
Why does price above the 200-day MA matter?
It is the classic definition of an uptrend. A price above the line means the market trades higher than its own six-month average, and large amounts of systematic capital use that condition to stay invested.
What is a golden cross and a death cross?
A golden cross is when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day; a death cross is the reverse. Both are variations on the same idea. This tracker uses the simpler and more robust version: whether price itself is above or below the 200-day line.
Does the 200-day MA lag?
Yes, deliberately. It needs months of higher prices before it turns up, so it will always be late at exact tops and bottoms. Its value is reliability, not speed, which is why this tracker also counts faster momentum and flow signals alongside it.