Days Since the Cycle Top
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ContextBitcoin set its cycle high of $126,080 on 6 October 2025, 377 days ago, or about 12.4 months. Past bear markets ran about 12 to 13 months top to bottom, on a sample of three. This is elapsed time only and does not vote.
What does days since the top measure?
Nothing more than elapsed time. It reads the date of Bitcoin’s highest ever price and counts forward from it. That date comes from the same CoinGecko response the price signals already use, so it costs no extra call and cannot disagree with the all-time high shown elsewhere on the site.
It exists because cycle position is the question people reach for when the market is quiet, and it is easy to answer badly from memory. Having the exact number stops that.
Why it matters for the bull market
Bitcoin’s last three completed bear markets, after the 2013, 2017 and 2021 tops, each ran about 12 to 13 months from top to bottom, followed by a longer climb. The fall from the October 2025 top reached its lowest point so far after about nine months, in June 2026; whether that was the bottom is not yet known. Knowing where you sit against that range is genuinely useful, and the guide on cycle length sets out what the record actually supports.
It is never counted, for the same reason the halving cycle is not: a calendar cannot react to the market. Day 400 of a cycle looks identical whether price is rallying or collapsing, so a vote based on it would be worse than no vote. Three completed cycles is also far too small a sample to call the timing a rule.
How it is used
Context indicator, not counted in the verdict. Tracks elapsed days since the all-time high, and never reacts to what the market is doing.Frequently asked questions
How long do crypto bear markets usually last?
About 12 to 13 months from the cycle top to the bottom in each of the last three completed bear markets, with a longer flat stretch after that before the next advance. Three observations cannot establish a pattern, so treat it as rough context.
Does a long time since the top mean a bottom is near?
Not on its own. Elapsed time carries no information about price, which is exactly why this is shown as context and never counted. The thirteen counted signals measure what the market is doing now.
Where does the date come from?
CoinGecko records the date of the highest price Bitcoin has traded. This page reads that field directly, so the count and the all-time high shown elsewhere on the site always agree.
What happens when a new all-time high is set?
The counter resets to zero, because the date it counts from moves. That is correct: a new high starts a new cycle by this definition.